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04/09/2026

Where Should Property Investors Buy? 🧭

So, what should investors actually buy if the “squeeze” is the base case?

Shawn's answer isn't to gamble on a particular suburb.

It's to find an asset profile that can work across multiple futures. 🧠

His two non-negotiable filters:

1️⃣ Vacancy under 1.5%
Below the national average, with rental demand that's proven, not promised.

2️⃣ Building approvals under 1%
Because rising rents don't help much if a developer can suddenly build 300 townhouses next door.

That's why Shawn says outer growth corridors often fail the second test.

He'd rather look at the middle ring, where both filters can potentially pass.

And there's another important distinction:

Buy segments, not just suburbs.

A suburb's median price can look average while its 2-3 bedroom entry-level stock is performing very differently.

In a rental squeeze, that's where Shawn believes pressure can concentrate first. 🔥

👉 🎧 Watch the full episode on YouTube — “Australia Property Market 2026: My 3-Month Prediction Scorecard"

03/09/2026

Property Reform: No Turning Back? 🔒

The government pivot Shawn predicted? It's looking less likely. 🎯

Three months ago, Shawn gave the government a 20% chance of blinking on the proposed property tax reforms.

Instead, the reform bill passed the Senate on June 25 and became law.

The changes also included a ban on new SMSF borrowing, while consultation on the second tranche was continuing.

For Shawn, this isn't a government backing away.

It's the opposite.

“That's not a government blinking. That's a government doubling down.”

And that's important for his property market thesis.

If policy doesn't change direction, the pressure created by the reforms has to flow somewhere.

And Shawn believes the rental market could be one of the places where that pressure shows up.

🏛️ "That's not a government blinking. That's a government doubling down.”

👉 🎧 Watch the full episode on YouTube — “Australia Property Market 2026: My 3-Month Prediction Scorecard"

02/09/2026

NAB Drops a Huge Rental Warning! ⚠️

NAB just put a very big number on Australia's rental problem. 👀

NAB's head of Australian economics warned that Sydney and Melbourne rents could rise by up to 30% as investors respond to the loss of negative gearing.

The logic is important.

If landlords can no longer deduct investment losses against wages, Shawn argues that the rental income itself needs to do more of the heavy lifting.

That's the squeeze mechanism.

NAB also expects the investor share of the housing market, currently around 30%, to shrink as lenders pivot towards owner-occupiers.

And that creates a simple chain:

🚪 Fewer investors
🏠 Fewer rental properties
📈 More pressure on rents

Shawn's takeaway?

The rental market could become an even bigger part of the property investment equation.

👉 🎧 Watch the full episode on YouTube — “Australia Property Market 2026: My 3-Month Prediction Scorecard"

01/09/2026

Sydney Prices Down, Rents Up ⚖️

What happens when property prices fall while rents keep rising?

You get a very different kind of property market.

Shawn predicted this three months ago: a two-speed market where prices could soften while rental pressure continues.

And the latest Sydney data is showing exactly that combination:

📉 Sydney asking house prices: -4.3% over the quarter
📈 Sydney rents: still climbing

But Shawn says the headline isn't the most important part.

Look at where listings are increasing.

Sydney's West, South West and Hills, where investor ownership is stronger, are seeing much sharper increases.

Meanwhile, blue-chip areas such as the Eastern Suburbs, Lower North Shore and Inner West have barely moved.

So this isn't simply “Sydney property is falling.”

It's a market resorting itself.

And when prices soften while rents rise, one number is mathematically pushed higher:

Yield.

“That's not a market falling. That's a market resorting.”

👉 🎧 Watch the full episode on YouTube — “Australia Property Market 2026: My 3-Month Prediction Scorecard"

31/08/2026

Melbourne Property Listings SURGE! 🚨

📍July is winter. Listings are supposed to fall. Instead, they surged.

The investor exit might already be showing up in the listings data. 👀

SQM's July numbers showed total property listings jumping 12.4% in a single month to almost 279,000.

And here's the part Shawn says matters:

July is winter. Listings are normally expected to fall.

Instead, they surged.

That means new listings and existing stock are building up faster than they're selling.

But Melbourne is where things get particularly interesting:

📍 Listings were up 42.8% year-on-year, the biggest increase of any capital city in the country.

For Shawn, this is one of the clearest signs that established property investors may be rethinking their positions after the budget.

The bigger question is: what happens next to prices, rents and yields?

👉 🎧 Watch the full episode on YouTube — “Australia Property Market 2026: My 3-Month Prediction Scorecard"

30/08/2026

Did Shawn Get the Property Market Right? 👀

Shawn isn't just making another property market prediction.

He's doing something most people in the industry rarely do: putting his previous predictions on screen and marking his own homework. 📊

Three months ago, Shawn predicted a property market “squeeze”:

🏠 Falling property prices
📈 Surging rents
🚪 Investors heading for the exits

Now there's more data to test that theory.

With NAB warning that rents in Sydney and Melbourne could potentially rise by up to 30%, Shawn goes back through the numbers and looks at what he got right, what he got wrong, and what the data is saying about Australia's property market in 2026.

No vibes. No crystal ball.

Just the data.

👉 🎧 Watch the full episode on YouTube — “Australia Property Market 2026: My 3-Month Prediction Scorecard"

08/08/2026

Stop Predicting. Start Using a Process ⚙️

📊 Prediction isn't the strategy... the process is.

Markets change.

Headlines change.

The investors who consistently perform have a framework that works across different market conditions.

Shawn shares why he believes the biggest buying opportunity of this decade could already be opening for investors following the data instead of the headlines.

👇 Are you following the headlines or the data?

"Prediction is what people do when they don't have a process."

👉 🎧 Watch the full episode on YouTube — “Sydney Rents Just Exploded: My 3 Property Market Predictions for 2026–2028"

07/08/2026

Is Melbourne About to Bounce Back? 🪃

📉 What happens if interest rates finally fall?

Shawn believes one city could bounce back faster than most...

🏙️ Melbourne.

Lower rents, strong infrastructure and improving affordability could put it in a strong position once borrowing power returns.

But there's one important condition before that happens...

👇 Which Australian city do you think recovers first?

"Recovery starts where affordability lives."

👉 🎧 Watch the full episode on YouTube — “Sydney Rents Just Exploded: My 3 Property Market Predictions for 2026–2028"

06/08/2026

Don't Buy Where Everyone Else Is Buying 🧭

👀 Here's the opportunity most investors are missing...

If everyone rushes into new builds...

Who's buying the quality established homes?

Sometimes the biggest opportunity appears where everyone else stops looking.

Shawn explains why following the crowd can create buying windows for disciplined investors.

👇 Would you follow the herd or the data?

"The herd creates opportunities for investors who think differently."

👉 🎧 Watch the full episode on YouTube — “Sydney Rents Just Exploded: My 3 Property Market Predictions for 2026–2028"

05/08/2026

Tax Deductions Won't Save a Bad Property 🧾

💥 A tax deduction won't save a bad investment.

Many investors are chasing brand-new estates because of tax incentives...

But Shawn explains why oversupply beats tax benefits every time.

If hundreds of identical homes are competing for tenants...

📉 Rental growth suffers.

👇 Would you buy for tax benefits or long-term growth?

"A tax deduction does not fix oversupply."

👉 🎧 Watch the full episode on YouTube — “Sydney Rents Just Exploded: My 3 Property Market Predictions for 2026–2028"

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