08/27/2023
August 2023: 17 Statistics To Know About The Current Real Estate Market**
1. Mortgage rates are at a 22 year high—7.77% on a 30 year fixed rate mortgage, according to Forbes.
2. Mortgage rates most closely correlate to the 10-year treasury bond, which is currently approaching a 16 year high of 4.36%.
3. The spread between the 30-year mortgage rate and the 10-year treasury bond currently sits at around 330 basis points (3.30%)
4. The average spread between the two is historically around 150 basis points (1.50%)
5. The foreclosure rate for 2009-10 was 2.20%, meaning roughly one out of every 45 homes in the United States was in foreclosure.
6. The foreclosure rate for 2022-23 is currently 0.24%—or roughly one in every 400 homes.
7. The principle & interest (P&I) payment on a $500,000 home with 20% down, 30-year mortgage at 3.0%: $1,686.42
8. The P&I payment on a $320,000 home the with 25% down, 30-year mortgage at 7.5%: $1,678.11
9. The interest rate buy downs offered by select new homebuilders can range between 100 to 200 basis points (1.00-2.00%). Similar interest rate buy downs can also, in many cases, be negotiated on existing home sales and purchases.
10. The P&I payment on a $400,000 home, 20% down, 30 year mortgage at 5.5%: $1,816.92
11. The MEDIAN home prices in the northwest suburbs as of July 2023: $410,000 in STMA, $425,000 in Otsego, $432,000 in Hanover and $450,000 in Rogers.
12. The AVERAGE home prices in those communities: $426,600 in STMA, $417,700 in Otsego, $449,100 in Hanover and $465,500 in Rogers.
13. Home sales prices rose slightly year-over-year in STMA and Rogers (1.0% and 1.7%, respectively) and fell slightly in Hanover and Otsego (-0.4% and -3.5%, respectively).
14. In a “normal” market, new construction makes up between 10-12% of active listings.
15. As of August 27th, 2023, there were 314 active listings in the above noted communities; 180 of these listings are new construction….representing 57% of the local real estate inventory.
16. Since May 2023, homes in the STMA and surrounding markets have been selling, on average, 2-3% below list price.
17. A 6% seller concession could be used to buy down a mortgage interest rate by around 1.50%. A buyer could potentially add to this buy down by another 0.50% with their own contributions.
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