10/01/2026
The DFW Real Estate Market Week of September 28, 2026
Mortgage Rates Just Jumped.
Here's What It Means for North Texas.
If you've been house hunting, you probably noticed the change this week. The average 30-year mortgage rate is now 7.28%, up from 7.03% a week ago, according to Freddie Mac. That's the highest it's been since November 2023, and rates have now gone up six weeks in a row.
Why did this happen?
The Federal Reserve raised interest rates last week for the first time since 2023, and hinted that another increase could come before the end of the year. Prices are still rising faster than the Fed wants, and higher gas and oil prices aren't helping. When investors expect higher rates, mortgage rates go up too. Zillow now expects rates to finish the year around 7.1%.
What does that mean for buying or selling a home?
The DFW market was steady before this spike. About 7,300 homes sold across the area in August, a little fewer than last year. The typical home sold for $390,000, roughly the same as a year ago.
But homes are taking longer to sell, almost two months on average. Sellers are getting a bit less than their asking price, and fewer people are signing contracts than last year. As MetroTex put it, "A slower market does not necessarily mean a declining market."
Keep in mind that those numbers came in before rates jumped. The September and October numbers will show us how buyers react.
What about the rest of real estate?
Business real estate in DFW is doing well. Office buildings are filling back up, especially newer, nicer buildings, and rents are rising. Warehouses are in high demand and on track for their best year since 2022. Apartments are filling up quickly too, and 93.8% of units are now occupied. Shopping centers are about 95% full, which ties a record.
Companies keep moving here
An Irish engineering firm, H&MV Engineering, picked Dallas for its North American headquarters and plans to add 1,000 U.S. jobs. Six Flags is moving its headquarters back to Arlington, with the move finished by March 2027. More jobs mean more people, and more people need places to live.
The bottom line
People and companies are still coming to North Texas, and that hasn't changed. What changed is the cost of borrowing money. For buyers, that means less competition and more room to negotiate. For sellers, it means pricing your home for today's market, not last summer's. And if you're not sure what any of this means for you, talk to a professional who can walk you through your numbers.