27/09/2026
The late economist, Dr Pervez Tahir, coined an evocative expression for Pakistan’s fiscal establishment: revenue-cracy. It describes more than the Federal Board of Revenue. It captures a system preoccupied with collecting the annual target rather than constructing an equitable fiscal contract.
A state unable to mobilise sufficient equitable revenue borrows. Debt servicing compresses fiscal space. Lower fiscal space increases pressure for additional revenue. Governments return to those already documented because they are the easiest to tax. Investment suffers. Growth remains weak. External financing gaps re-appear. Another IMF programme follows.
This is not a dependency imposed entirely from abroad. Pakistan negotiates IMF programmes as a sovereign member. Many Fund demands—taxing under-taxed sectors, improving energy-sector finances, controlling losses of state-owned enterprises and strengthening public financial management—address genuine domestic failures.
Pakistan does not need to be free from debt. No modern economy does. It needs freedom from dependence on debt for survival. The difference between the two is the difference between borrowing to finance transformation and borrowing because transformation never occurred.
The roots of vulnerability lie in what the governments borrow for, what the national economy produces and how the country is governed