06/17/2026
If you were waiting for mortgage rates to drop, May was a frustrating reminder that rates do not move in a straight line and that perfectly timing the market is one of the hardest things anyone can attempt.
One hotter-than-expected inflation report can push rates higher fast and that is exactly what happened. But that does not mean your window is gone. It means you need a plan that works even if rates move against you rather than a strategy built entirely on hoping the perfect moment arrives on its own.
Here is what I tell every buyer right now. Do not shop based on the lowest rate you saw online two weeks ago. That number may not exist anymore. Shop based on what you can actually afford today and give yourself a cushion in case rates shift before you get under contract. Once you find the right home have a real conversation with your lender about every tool available to you. Rate locks, seller credits, temporary buydowns, and permanent buydowns can all meaningfully improve your payment situation without requiring rates to drop on their own.
Waiting can work when it is grounded in something real. If prices are softening in your market or inventory is improving and creating better options, waiting has a logical foundation. But waiting simply because you are hoping rates magically fall is a strategy that has backfired for a significant number of buyers over the last two years while prices in many markets continued to appreciate around them.
The goal is not to predict the market perfectly. It is to buy when the numbers make sense for your actual life. Follow me for more real-world mortgage advice.