02/02/2026
Last Week's Mortgage Rate Recap:
Rates still low
Mortgage rates stayed low last week but didn’t move any lower. With the Fed holding policy rates steady and no surprises from the meeting or Fed Chair Powell's press conference, markets had little to react to, keeping mortgage rates stable through the week.
This Week's Mortgage Rate Forecast:
Rates could be volatile
Markets will be watching several labor market reports this week, but mortgage rates may not react as strongly as they usually do because there’s still a lot more data coming before the Fed meets again in March. Rates are likely to stay low, though probably not quite as low as they were a couple of weeks ago.
What's affecting rates this week:
Labor market data:
A number of labor market reports are coming out this week, including job openings, layoffs, private payrolls, and unemployment claims. The most important report will be Friday’s BLS jobs data, which includes unemployment, job growth, and wage information that could affect mortgage rates this week.
Economic data:
A few additional reports will be released this week that could cause small day-to-day changes in mortgage rates, but nothing that’s expected to push rates meaningfully higher or lower.